Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.022276 0.023931 0.025653 0.027583 0.029687 0.031914 0.034451
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.019736 0.022148 0.024793 0.027916 0.031515 0.035545 0.040418
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.017653 0.020459 0.023655 0.027583 0.032304 0.037829 0.044829
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016207 0.019276 0.022881 0.027457 0.033156 0.040074 0.049192
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.014934 0.018148 0.022022 0.027078 0.033563 0.041688 0.052774
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.014076 0.017438 0.021585 0.027132 0.034444 0.043877 0.057163
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013166 0.016585 0.020886 0.026767 0.034708 0.045218 0.060454
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.012304 0.015730 0.020117 0.026233 0.034672 0.046107 0.063125
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.011652 0.015104 0.019601 0.025986 0.034981 0.047446 0.066476
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.011062 0.014524 0.019104 0.025721 0.035223 0.048675 0.069711
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010424 0.013843 0.018431 0.025160 0.034992 0.049181 0.071865
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.010115 0.013595 0.018334 0.025401 0.035921 0.051420 0.076798
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.009743 0.013245 0.018081 0.025405 0.036506 0.053189 0.081148
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009491 0.013053 0.018040 0.025715 0.037560 0.055733 0.086928
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.009078 0.012607 0.017610 0.025414 0.037650 0.056760 0.090259
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008749 0.012268 0.017317 0.025301 0.038017 0.058235 0.094435
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008379 0.011853 0.016891 0.024956 0.037989 0.059051 0.097511
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.008138 0.011619 0.016725 0.025005 0.038591 0.060936 0.102603
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007815 0.011248 0.016333 0.024674 0.038544 0.061712 0.105727
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.007474 0.010835 0.015860 0.024189 0.038211 0.061967 0.107889
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007215 0.010540 0.015557 0.023965 0.038301 0.062958 0.111501
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.006968 0.010253 0.015254 0.023724 0.038347 0.063863 0.115000
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.006673 0.009880 0.014802 0.023213 0.037894 0.063839 0.116657